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Logistic Growth: The S-Curve of Limited Resources

Unlimited growth is exponential, but real populations run into limits: food, space, or market size. The logistic function 10 / (1 + 9·exp(-x)) starts out looking exponential, then bends over and levels off at a carrying capacity — here, 10. The result is the famous S-curve seen in bacterial colonies, product adoption, and the spread of ideas.

The curve has an inflection point where it switches from accelerating to decelerating — the moment growth is fastest, exactly halfway to the carrying capacity. Before that point the curve bends upward (growth feeding on itself); after it, the curve bends downward as the limit bites. Finding that inflection point is one of the most useful things calculus can do for a model.

Plotted expressions

  • y = 10 / (1 + 9*exp(-x))
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What to notice

  • The horizontal asymptote y = 10 is the carrying capacity the curve approaches but never exceeds.
  • The steepest part of the S is the inflection point — where growth is fastest.
  • Try 10 / (1 + 9*exp(-2*x)) to see how a faster growth rate steepens the middle of the S without changing its ceiling.

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